FORMLAB Race Report — Sandown Park 18:20

FORMLAB RACING

THE SCIENCE OF FORM  ·  RACE INTELLIGENCE REPORT

Sandown Park · 18:20

Class 4 · 1m6f · Good to Firm (Firm in places) · FIELD MEDIAN OR 75.5

GENERATED 2026-07-24 · 6 RUNNERS PROFILED

BUILT 16:48 · 24 Jul · GOING AT BUILD: Good to Firm (Firm in places)

THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 29.4%winner in the projected 1–2–3 60.8%265 races · latest settled day: #1 6/35, top-3 16/35forensic read: #1 28.6% · top-3 59.4% (192)full record →

The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW

Nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front. Winners here spend about 48% of their energy before the final two furlongs and quicken late. On the measured reads, APPIER (IRE) leads on 89, 1pts clear of PERSONAL BEST — the quickest away of the early types. The case against the top pick: rated well above the mark it last won from. The shape danger is KNIGHT TEMPLAR — the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it. The market sees it differently, making PERSONAL BEST the 46% favourite — a horse our figures rate 2nd.

MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE

The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3

1ST · DATA ORDER DRAW 5

APPIER (IRE)

OR 79 · Neil Callan / Tony Carroll

MARKET 5.7 · the market rates it a 17% chance

89.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD

Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayThe top rating in this field (89.0)Stable in form this week — 2 wins from 15 runsJockey goes well at this track (1.79x market expectation)

2ND · DATA ORDER DRAW 2

PERSONAL BEST

OR 79 · Jason Watson / Jonathan Portman

MARKET 2.18 · the market rates it a 46% chance

88.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD

Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayRated #2 in this field (88.0)Runs Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

3RD · DATA ORDER DRAW 4

KNIGHT TEMPLAR

OR 76 · David Probert / Robert Stephens

MARKET drifting 11 → 14 · the market rates it a 7% chance

79.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD

Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 4−Rated #3 in this field (79.0)Jockey goes well at this track (1.61x market expectation)Historically underestimated by the marketRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY

1APPIER (IRE)net +9figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 late speed today, quickest early type, energy in the winning band, proven at trip − 5lb+ above last winning mark

2PERSONAL BESTnet +5figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 speed vs its fields, yard positive in today’s setup − 5lb+ above last winning mark

3KNIGHT TEMPLARnet +3form (top-3 LTO or recent win), top-2 late speed today, top-2 speed vs its fields, sharp from the stalls − sectional profile stale

EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD

THE CASE AGAINST THE TOP PICK graded 34% · n=87

APPIER (IRE) carries rated well above the mark it last won from. PERSONAL BEST is the one to beat it — an edge APPIER (IRE) lacks: among the two fastest on speed against its past fields.

Balance, not doubt for its own sake — every pick has a case against; a reader should see ours.

Race ShapePACE × FINISH

even/unclear early shape (2 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.

What this course & distance favours

Won by prominent racers 35% · front-runners 31% (53 past C&D winners · won up with the pace). Stamina-sapping uphill finish — the defining feature. Winners’ energy signature: 48.42% spent early (band 47.34–49.15%, 15 measured winners, and the typical winner sits ~4 at halfway, 0.47s off the lead). graded 44% · n=331 Only 2 confirmed early types — the likely leader can dictate, a real edge at a track this front/prominent-biased.

Where the pace is drawn · 6 runners · stalls 1–6

123456

Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is spread across the draw (stalls 1–6).

If the ground changes

Should it turn softer: APPIER (IRE) is 1/5 on softer ground · PERSONAL BEST is 0/3 on softer ground · KNIGHT TEMPLAR is 2/2 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).

RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup

APPIER (IRE) PROMINENT 49.1% 105.8 the quickest of today's early types, at the tempo that wins here — and finds plenty late

PERSONAL BEST MID 50.7% 102.2 solid late gains (5th of 6 on late speed here), yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it

KNIGHT TEMPLAR MID 47.0% 111.8 the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it

LUDO'S LANDING (IRE) PROMINENT 48.9% 103.7 just behind the quickest early pair — presses, at the tempo that wins here — and finds plenty late

LARAVIE (IRE) MID 48.7% 100.7 solid late gains (6th of 6 on late speed here), races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it

MISTER DAYDREAM (IRE) MID 49.6% 104.0 a genuine turn of foot — 3rd-best late speed here, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it

The early fight · measured

Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.

APPIER (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~1.7 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.10s off the field’s best

LUDO'S LANDING (IRE)PROMINENTa shade quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.17s off the field’s best

nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front · context only — the shape never selects.

The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER

#1 APPIER (IRE) PROMINENT DOOR 2 · UNDER-RAISED WINNER

DRAW 5 · OR 79 · Neil Callan / Tony Carroll

MARKET 5.7 · the market rates it a 17% chance

Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−

89.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

Top on the figures, 1pts clear of the next, the quickest away of the early types; rated well above the mark it last won from.

FormLab Figure

89.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 91

Official mark (OR)

79 · last won off 73

Record at today's distance

2 wins from 6 tries · beats market expectation (2.5)

Days since last run

42

Sectional clock

Last time: a shade below par (-0.5s) · best on the clock in its race
Usually races front-runner (cooked late)

Run style & finish

Prominent · finishing speed 105.8% (strong late)

Course scale · class context

drops 6 places on the course scale (GOODWOOD 3rd → SANDOWN PARK 9th) — much easier company than the bare class suggests

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

1stClass 4 · 1m6f · rated 896thClass 4 · 2m · rated 7313thClass 4 · 1m7f176y · rated 693rdClass 5 · 1m6f22y · rated 782ndClass 4 · 2m2f88y · rated 78

Career sheet · last 18 months · 19 rated runs · spacing is real time

Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Tony Carroll · 2398 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.4 on the exchange

Signature angle: at Bath, at this time of year (Q2), on turf, off a TFR-FALLING figure trend, with the mark MARK-FLAT, without a recent yard winner, with a CLAIM-7 claimer up

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

On turf ✦97/70713.7%1.248/24119.9%1.42

Over 11f+ trips ✦33/25512.9%1.1613/8814.8%1.33

Too few runners to read reliably

At Sandown Park (small sample)2/825.0%1.570/50.0%0.0

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 91 at/around today's trip, clears the ~88.0 demand

The rider

Neil Callan · last 14 days: 2/9 · at Sandown Park: A/E 1.79 (n37) · with this yard: A/E 1.37 (n52)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field · today's field median OR 75.5 graded 42% · n=2872

Speed · vs its fields5th of 6

-0.36 mph

Slower than the fields it has met · 37.4 raw

Break · 0-20mph4th of 6

+0.10s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed2nd of 6

105.8%

Sustains — still going at the line

Stride length1st of 6

7.17 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

12 Jun 26Goodwood1m6fSoft41st7377True36.9 +0.07104.2+0.34

2 May 26Goodwood2mGood46th7478True38.4 -0.31104.5+0.25

3 Apr 26Lingfield1m7f169yStd413th7576True39.1 -1.31107.1+0.00

26 Mar 26Southwell1m6f21yStd53rd75—True37.8 -0.44107.8+0.00

4 Mar 26Southwell2m2f98yStd42nd7473—37.1 -0.02107.0-0.26

21 Jan 26Kempton Park2mSlow53rd7572.5True36.9 -0.17104.1+0.29

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.53fast2f+0.55fast3f+0.83par4f+0.88par5f+0.79par6f+0.80par7f+0.77fast1m+0.63par1m 1f+0.54par1m 2f+0.37fast1m 3f+0.19par1m 4f+0.23slow1m 5fledslow1m 6fledvery slow

Timed runs 2026-01-21 to 2026-06-12. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met graded 55% · n=401

KNIGHT TEMPLAR · 1 meeting≈ 3.2L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly

21 Jan 26 · 2m · Slow — finished 3rd vs 1st, 3.25L behind · OR 75 v 72 · race median 72 (today 75.5)

THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (-3.2L adj, 1 meeting(s))

Read through a common rival

vs LARAVIE (IRE) (read through TARBAT NESS, CHILLHI) ≈ -4.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

vs MISTER DAYDREAM (IRE) (read through MAASAI MARA, EXPRESSIONLESS, CRACKERGEE, EDUCATOR) ≈ +4.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

vs LUDO'S LANDING (IRE) (read through GREEN TEAM, WAY OF LIFE, FREDDY ROBINSON, CHARLIE'S CHOICE) ≈ -2.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

vs PERSONAL BEST (read through CRUDEN, MR FREEDOM, PERCY SHELLEY, ST MAWES) ≈ -1.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

6lb above his last winning mark (79 today vs 73)Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayThe top rating in this field (89.0)Improving fast — last run rated 89, 12pts above his recent average of 77.0Stable in form this week — 2 wins from 15 runsJockey goes well at this track (1.79x market expectation)Historically underestimated by the marketRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“waited with, headway over 2f out, led approaching final 1f, driven clear”

#2 PERSONAL BEST MID

DRAW 2 · OR 79 · Jason Watson / Jonathan Portman

MARKET 2.18 · the market rates it a 46% chance

Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−

88.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

2nd on the figures, 1pts off the top, among the two fastest on speed against its past fields; rated well above the mark it last won from.

FormLab Figure

88.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 88

Official mark (OR)

79 · last won off 74

Record at today's distance

1 win from 8 tries · below market expectation (0.82)

Days since last run

41

Sectional clock

Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.7s)
Usually races prominent

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 102.15% (holds late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

2ndClass 4 · 1m6f · rated 883rdClass 4 · 2m · rated 854thClass 3 · 1m6f44y · rated 772ndClass 3 · 1m6f · rated 882ndClass 4 · 1m6f · rated 88

Career sheet · last 18 months · 11 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Jonathan Portman · 643 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.8 on the exchange

Signature angle: at this time of year (Q2)

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

Above their last winning mark19/14413.2%1.012/7116.9%1.28

In fields of <=7 ✦18/10018.0%1.237/3818.4%1.15

Too few runners to read reliably

At Sandown Park (small sample)2/1910.5%1.111/425.0%2.03

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 88 at/around today's trip, clears the ~88.0 demand

The rider

Jason Watson · last 14 days: 5/21 · at Sandown Park: A/E 0.83 (n36)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field · today's field median OR 75.5 graded 42% · n=2872

Speed · vs its fields2nd of 6

+0.09 mph

About the level of its fields · 37.6 raw

Break · 0-20mph2nd of 6

+0.07s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed5th of 6

102.2%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length5th of 6

6.89 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

13 Jun 26Sandown Park1m6fGood42nd7878True38.2 +0.21109.2+0.00

1 Jun 26Newbury2mFirm43rd7874True38.7 +0.20104.5-0.04

14 May 26Salisbury1m6f44yGood34th7980True37.4 +0.0099.6+0.39

8 Oct 25Nottingham1m6fSoft42nd7779Fast early36.3 +0.0599.0+0.02

24 Sep 25Goodwood1m6fGood34th7884Fast early39.0 -0.1799.5+0.14

30 Jul 25Sandown Park1m6fGood45th7878True36.9 +0.22101.0-0.10

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.01slow2f+0.06slow3f+0.13slow4f+0.25slow5f+0.24par6f+0.20slow7f+0.12par1m+0.04par1m 1f+0.09par1m 2f+0.39par1m 3f+0.25slow1m 4f+0.08very fast1m 5fledvery fast1m 6f+0.12very fast

Timed runs 2025-07-30 to 2026-06-13. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met graded 55% · n=401

Read through a common rival

vs LUDO'S LANDING (IRE) (read through TRYFAN, LIKEALOT) ≈ +5.8L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

vs APPIER (IRE) (read through CRUDEN, MR FREEDOM, PERCY SHELLEY, ST MAWES) ≈ +1.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

vs KNIGHT TEMPLAR (read through LOVING LOOK, BARENBOIM) ≈ -0.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

5lb above his last winning mark (79 today vs 74)Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayRated #2 in this field (88.0)NEARLY WON LTO — traded 1.05 in-play before being beaten: the market briefly had it the winner (context, not a selector)Historically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“chased leader, edged ahead under 2f out, stayed on, headed only late”

#3 KNIGHT TEMPLAR MID

DRAW 4 · OR 76 · David Probert / Robert Stephens

MARKET drifting 11 → 14 · the market rates it a 7% chance

Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 4−

79.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

3rd on the figures, 10pts off the top, sharp from the stalls; its sectional profile is out of date.

FormLab Figure

79.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 79

Official mark (OR)

76 · last won off 72

Record at today's distance

1 win from 1 tries · beats market expectation (6.91)

Days since last run

121

Sectional clock

Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races prominent

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 111.8% (strong late)

Course scale · class context

steps up 7 places on the course scale (KEMPTON PARK 16th → SANDOWN PARK 9th) — a real rise in class regardless of the race grade

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

2ndClass 4 · 2m · rated 792ndClass 5 · 1m4f22y · rated 758thClass 4 · 1m7f176y · rated 721stClass 5 · 2m · rated 791stClass 5 · 1m6f · rated 75

Career sheet · last 18 months · 6 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Robert Stephens · 118 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 10.0 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

Above their last winning mark3/2910.3%0.954/2020.0%1.67

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

At this time of year (Q3)3/2114.3%1.660/50.0%0.0

On turf2/248.3%1.090/80.0%0.0

In Class 4-5 company1/195.3%1.041/812.5%0.8

In fields of <=70/150.0%0.01/714.3%0.84

Too few runners to read reliably

Coming back after 91 to 180 days (small sample)1/616.7%2.080/10.0%0.0

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 84 is below the ~88.0 the race demands

The rider

David Probert · last 14 days: 8/43 · at Sandown Park: A/E 1.61 (n21) · with this yard: A/E 2.14 (n19)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field · today's field median OR 75.5 graded 42% · n=2872

Speed · vs its fields1st of 6

+0.37 mph

Faster than the fields it has met · 38.9 raw

Break · 0-20mph1st of 6

+0.04s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed1st of 6

111.8%

Sustains — still going at the line

Stride length3rd of 6

6.93 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

25 Mar 26Kempton Park2mSlow42nd7573True38.6 +0.50108.8+0.00

20 Feb 26Southwell1m4f14yStd/Slow52nd7574Slow early38.4 +0.37109.1—

31 Jan 26Lingfield1m7f169yStd/Slow48th7575True40.4 +0.00116.4+0.00

21 Jan 26Kempton Park2mSlow51st7272.5True37.5 +0.45106.1+0.00

5 Nov 24Newcastle2m56yStandard—3rd——Slow early39.2 +0.50113.2+0.00

11 Oct 24Kempton Park2mStandard / Slow—1st——Slow early39.2 +0.41117.2+0.19

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.58par2f+0.58par3f+0.72par4f+0.63par5f+0.53par6f+0.41slow7f+0.59slow1m+0.61par1m 1f+0.57par1m 2f+0.45par1m 3f+0.39par1m 4f+0.50par1m 5f+0.34par1m 6f+0.18par1m 7fledpar2m+0.08fast

Timed runs 2024-10-11 to 2026-03-25 · last timed run 121 days ago — the profile is out of date. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · 3 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met graded 55% · n=401

APPIER (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 3.2L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly

21 Jan 26 · 2m · Slow — finished 1st vs 3rd, 3.25L ahead · OR 72 v 75 · race median 72 (today 75.5)

THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (+3.2L adj, 1 meeting(s))

Read through a common rival

vs MISTER DAYDREAM (IRE) (read through EDUCATOR, NAASMA) ≈ -1.9L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

vs LUDO'S LANDING (IRE) (read through VICE PRESIDENT, HAALAND, ISLE OF SARK, TRAILA) ≈ -1.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

vs PERSONAL BEST (read through LOVING LOOK, BARENBOIM) ≈ +0.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

4lb above his last winning mark (76 today vs 72)Yet to win at this level — a Class 5 winner, upped to Class 4 todayRated #3 in this field (79.0)Only 1 run at this distanceJockey goes well at this track (1.61x market expectation)NEARLY WON LTO — traded 1.05 in-play before being beaten: the market briefly had it the winner (context, not a selector)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“in touch, close up 2f out, led briefly entering final 1f, kept on”

#4 LARAVIE (IRE) MID

DRAW 6 · OR 71 · Luke Morris / James Owen

MARKET backed 6.4 → 5.8 · the market rates it a 17% chance

Yard suits today’s conditions · 1+ / 0−

74.7 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

4th on the figures, 14.3pts off the top, backed since the morning; habitually slow from the stalls.

FormLab Figure

74.7 · ranked #4 here · career best 78

Official mark (OR)

71 · last won off 65

Record at today's distance

1 win from 2 tries · below market expectation (0.9)

Days since last run

20

Sectional clock

Last time: a shade below par (-0.3s)
Usually races prominent · clock read is off a superseded run

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 100.7% (holds late)

Course scale · class context

steps up 16 places on the course scale (CARLISLE 25th → SANDOWN PARK 9th) — a real rise in class regardless of the race grade

Field strength · class context

Steps into 14lb stronger company than last time — today's median OR 75.5 vs 62 last run (CARLISLE · 4 Jul 26)

Headgear

Visor · yard 16% with first-time gear (A/E 1.22)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

2ndClass 5 · 2m1f44y · rated 732ndClass 5 · 1m6f22y · rated 731stClass 6 · 2m1f22y · rated 781stClass 6 · 1m7f198y · rated 681stClass 6 · 1m6f44y · rated 69

Career sheet · last 18 months · 10 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

James Owen · 1546 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.5 on the exchange

Signature angle: at 4-8 odds, without a recent yard winner, on Good to Firm ground

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At this time of year (Q3)46/36612.6%0.9211/5420.4%1.23

Too few runners to read reliably

At Sandown Park (small sample)1/166.2%0.710/30.0%0.0

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 78 is below the ~88.0 the race demands

The rider

Luke Morris · last 14 days: 6/37 · at Sandown Park: A/E 1.41 (n28) · with this yard: A/E 1.13 (n113)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field · today's field median OR 75.5 graded 42% · n=2872

Speed · vs its fields4th of 6

-0.14 mph

About the level of its fields · 38.4 raw

Break · 0-20mph6th of 6

+0.42s

Slow away in 2 of 4 — habitual, so the market already knows

Finish · closing speed6th of 6

100.7%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length6th of 6

6.83 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

4 Jul 26Carlisle2m1f47yGood52nd7262—37.1 -0.5193.1+0.33—

18 Jun 26Yarmouth1m6f17yGd/Frm52nd69—True38.6 -0.34106.3+0.06

8 Jun 26Pontefract2m1f27yGood61st6557.5—37.1 +0.1296.9+0.55—

11 May 26Catterick Bridge1m7f189yGood61st5960.5True38.0 +0.09105.6+0.28

3 May 26Salisbury1m6f44yGd/Frm61st5656Fast early38.2 -0.2093.7-0.38

27 Apr 26Lingfield1m7f169ySlow65th5655True38.2 +0.03108.7+0.52

Timed runs 2026-04-27 to 2026-07-04. · finishing speed for 2 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met graded 55% · n=401

Read through a common rival

vs APPIER (IRE) (read through TARBAT NESS, CHILLHI) ≈ +4.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

6lb above his last winning mark (71 today vs 65)Yet to win at this level — a Class 6 winner, upped to Class 4 todayOnly 2 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 5 wins from 12 runsJockey goes well at this track (1.41x market expectation)Historically underestimated by the marketRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“chased leader, ridden over 3f out, not quicken, rallied gradually only late”

#5 MISTER DAYDREAM (IRE) MID

DRAW 1 · OR 66 · Rhys Clutterbuck / Gary & Josh Moore

MARKET 11.5 · the market rates it a 9% chance

Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−

71.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

5th on the figures, 18pts off the top, fit and race-ready; stepping up into much stronger company on the ratings.

FormLab Figure

71.0 · ranked #5 here · career best 78

Official mark (OR)

66 · last won off 58

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 1 tries

Days since last run

11

Sectional clock

Last time: 1.1s slower than par — the result flattered it · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races prominent

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 103.96% (strong late)

Course scale · class context

steps up 14 places on the course scale (LINGFIELD PARK 23rd → SANDOWN PARK 9th) — a real rise in class regardless of the race grade

Field strength · class context

Steps into 6lb stronger company than last time — today's median OR 75.5 vs 70 last run (LINGFIELD PARK · 13 Jul 26)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

2ndClass 5 · 1m5f · rated 711stClass 6 · 1m4f · rated 727thClass 5 · 1m3f88y · rated 637thClass 5 · 1m3f198y · rated 532ndClass 6 · 1m2f · rated 64

Career sheet · last 18 months · 14 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Gary & Josh Moore · 799 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.7 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At this time of year (Q3)26/2968.8%0.746/3020.0%1.31

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

In fields of <=7 ✦18/14012.9%0.95/3813.2%0.77

Over 11f+ trips ✦22/21510.2%0.875/559.1%0.79

Too few runners to read reliably

At Sandown Park (small sample)3/3010.0%1.111/714.3%2.19

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 78 is below the ~88.0 the race demands

The rider

Rhys Clutterbuck · last 14 days: 1/14 · at Sandown Park: A/E 0.75 (n23) · with this yard: A/E 0.51 (n113)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field · today's field median OR 75.5 graded 42% · n=2872

Speed · vs its fields3rd of 6

-0.03 mph

About the level of its fields · 38.0 raw

Break · 0-20mph3rd of 6

+0.07s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed3rd of 6

104.0%

Sustains — still going at the line

Stride length2nd of 6

7.08 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

13 Jul 26Lingfield1m5fStd52nd6370—38.0 +0.06106.7+0.32

6 Jul 26Lingfield1m4fStd/Slow61st5851True37.5 +0.00103.4+0.05

15 Jun 26Windsor1m3f99yGd/Frm57th6265True40.0 +0.06111.8+0.02

29 May 26Brighton1m3f198yGd/Frm57th6474True41.4 -0.21106.2+0.00

16 Oct 25Chelmsford City1m2fSlow62nd6562True38.8 -0.0696.3-0.04

8 Sep 25Newcastle1m2f42ySlow55th7070.5True—99.3—

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.12 2f+0.21 3f+0.46 4f+0.32 5f+0.18 6f+0.24 7f+0.19 1m+0.33 1m 1f+0.38 1m 2f+0.33 1m 3f+0.18 1m 4f+0.18 1m 5f+0.16

Timed runs 2025-09-08 to 2026-07-13. · 1 run(s) have no recorded top speed; 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met graded 55% · n=401

Read through a common rival

vs APPIER (IRE) (read through MAASAI MARA, EXPRESSIONLESS, CRACKERGEE, EDUCATOR) ≈ -4.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

vs KNIGHT TEMPLAR (read through EDUCATOR, NAASMA) ≈ +1.9L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

vs LUDO'S LANDING (IRE) (read through KIMEKO GLORY, LIGHT SPEED, EDUCATOR, FREDDY ROBINSON) ≈ +0.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

8lb above his last winning mark (66 today vs 58)Yet to win at this level — a Class 5 winner, upped to Class 4 todayOnly 1 run at this distanceNEARLY WON LTO — traded 2.0 in-play before being beaten: the market briefly had it the winner (context, not a selector)Race-fit — ran 11 days agoHistorically underestimated by the market

LTO comment

“off pace, headway 4f out, led 3f out, drew clear”

#6 LUDO'S LANDING (IRE) PROMINENT

DRAW 3 · OR 75 · Rowan Scott / Charlie Johnston

MARKET drifting 18 → 23 · the market rates it a 4% chance

Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 4−

70.7 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

6th on the figures, 18.3pts off the top, runs the dominant winning style here; a yard out of form.

FormLab Figure

70.7 · ranked #6 here · career best 86

Official mark (OR)

75 · last won off 75

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 2 tries

Days since last run

30

Sectional clock

Last time: 3.4s slower than par — the result flattered it
Usually races midfield

Run style & finish

Prominent · finishing speed 103.72% (strong late)

Course scale · class context

steps up 16 places on the course scale (CARLISLE 25th → SANDOWN PARK 9th) — a real rise in class regardless of the race grade

Headgear

Blinkers · yard 12% with first-time gear (A/E 1.26)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

5thClass 4 · 1m3f44y · rated 673rdClass 4 · 1m5f22y · rated 834thClass 4 · 1m4f88y · rated 6211thClass 4 · 1m4f110y · rated 691stClass 5 · 1m4f88y · rated 83

Career sheet · last 18 months · 13 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Charlie Johnston · 2328 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.5 on the exchange

Signature angle: with the mark MARK-FALLING3+

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦104/85612.1%0.9922/2409.2%0.79

Over 11f+ trips76/52614.4%1.0516/13911.5%0.81

At this time of year (Q3) ✦77/72610.6%0.8310/9410.6%0.82

In fields of <=7 ✦104/62616.6%0.9431/22313.9%0.83

Too few runners to read reliably

Back at their last winning mark (small sample)2/238.7%0.92/1513.3%1.23

At Sandown Park (small sample)0/130.0%0.01/520.0%1.11

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 86 is below the ~88.0 the race demands

The rider

Rowan Scott · last 14 days: 2/15 · at Sandown Park: A/E 0 (n4) · with this yard: A/E 1.96 (n34)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field · today's field median OR 75.5 graded 42% · n=2872

Speed · vs its fields6th of 6

-0.61 mph

Slower than the fields it has met · 37.6 raw

Break · 0-20mph5th of 6

+0.17s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed4th of 6

103.7%

Sustains — still going at the line

Stride length4th of 6

6.93 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

24 Jun 26Carlisle1m3f39yGd/Frm45th7776True40.8 +0.3094.9+0.34

27 May 26Hamilton Park1m5f16yGd/Frm43rd78—True37.8 -1.47106.0+0.09

1 May 26Newcastle1m4f98ySlow44th7882Fast early36.1 -0.4398.1+0.17

12 Apr 26Musselburgh1m4f104yGood411th7875True37.3 -0.98107.3+0.09

6 Mar 26Newcastle1m4f98yStd51st7567True38.5 +0.28111.2+0.13

12 Feb 26Chelmsford City1m6fStd45th7777True37.4 -1.39104.8+0.20

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.46very slow2f+0.43par3f+0.43par4f+0.40par5f+0.55par6f+0.62fast7f+0.80fast1m+0.62slow1m 1f+0.49very slow1m 2f+1.47very slow1m 3f+2.79very slow

Timed runs 2026-02-12 to 2026-06-24. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met graded 55% · n=401

Read through a common rival

vs PERSONAL BEST (read through TRYFAN, LIKEALOT) ≈ -5.8L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

vs APPIER (IRE) (read through GREEN TEAM, WAY OF LIFE, FREDDY ROBINSON, CHARLIE'S CHOICE) ≈ +2.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

vs KNIGHT TEMPLAR (read through VICE PRESIDENT, HAALAND, ISLE OF SARK, TRAILA) ≈ +1.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

vs MISTER DAYDREAM (IRE) (read through KIMEKO GLORY, LIGHT SPEED, EDUCATOR, FREDDY ROBINSON) ≈ -0.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayOnly 2 runs at this distanceStable cold this week — 1 wins from 23 runsHistorically underestimated by the market

LTO comment

“mid-field, ridden over 2f out, plodded on”