BUILT 16:48 · 24 Jul · GOING AT BUILD: Good to Firm (Firm in places)
THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 29.4%winner in the projected 1–2–3 60.8%265 races · latest settled day: #1 6/35, top-3 16/35forensic read: #1 28.6% · top-3 59.4% (192)full record →
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
DOWNONMAINSTREET (IRE) is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself. Winners here spend about 50% of their energy before the final two furlongs and quicken late. On the measured reads, DOWNONMAINSTREET (IRE) leads on 60, 3pts clear of DELIGHFULLY HOT — sharp from the stalls. Little to argue against on the measured reads — the only question is the price. The shape danger is ELPEEARE (IRE) — the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it. The market sees it differently, making NOT MY TYPE the 19% favourite — a horse our figures rate lower.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 5
DOWNONMAINSTREET (IRE)
OR · Jamie Spencer / Michael Bell
MARKET 7.6 · the market rates it a 13% chance
60.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 3−The top rating in this field (60.0)
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 6
DELIGHFULLY HOT
OR · Sean Levey / James Owen
MARKET drifting 7.6 → 8.6 · the market rates it a 12% chance
57.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 1+ / 0−Rated #2 in this field (57.0)Stable in form this week — 5 wins from 12 runsRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 7
ELPEEARE (IRE)
OR · Liam Wright / George Scott
MARKET backed 7 → 6.2 · the market rates it a 16% chance
55.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 5+ / 0−Rated #3 in this field (55.0)Stable in form this week — 4 wins from 10 runsRuns Held-Up — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1ELPEEARE (IRE)net +7race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 late speed today, yard hot, FormLab watch flag
2DOWNONMAINSTREET (IRE)net +4figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), top-2 late speed today, sharp from the stalls
3DELIGHFULLY HOTnet +4figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), yard hot
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
THE CASE AGAINST THE TOP PICK graded 34% · n=87
Little to argue against on the measured reads — the only question is the price. ELPEEARE (IRE) is the one to beat it — an edge DOWNONMAINSTREET (IRE) lacks: flagged on our watch list.
Balance, not doubt for its own sake — every pick has a case against; a reader should see ours.
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
one confirmed early type — lone-lead possible. Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
What this course & distance favours
Won by hold-up closers 29% · front-runners 29% (35 past C&D winners · no strong run-style bias). Stamina-sapping uphill finish — the defining feature. Winners’ energy signature: 49.64% spent early (band 49.13–50.82%, 47 measured winners, and the typical winner sits ~3 at halfway, 0.19s off the lead). graded 44% · n=331
Where the pace is drawn · 8 runners · stalls 1–9
123456789
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is spread across the draw (stalls 1–9).
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: DOWNONMAINSTREET (IRE) is 0/1 on softer ground · DELIGHFULLY HOT is 0/1 on softer ground · ELPEEARE (IRE) is unraced on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
BINT PALACE PIER (IRE)———-
COCONUT STALL———-
DELIGHFULLY HOTMID48.5%102.5solid late gains (4th of 4 on late speed here), saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
DOWNONMAINSTREET (IRE)FRONT48.1%104.9the only measured early speed in the race, without over-committing — and finds plenty late · sharp from the stalls
DUTY'S CALL (IRE)———-
ELPEEARE (IRE)HELD-UP46.9%105.8the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
NIGHTBLOOM (IRE)——102.6-
NOT MY TYPE———-
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
DOWNONMAINSTREET (IRE)FRONTtypically ~1.1 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
DOWNONMAINSTREET (IRE) is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1DOWNONMAINSTREET (IRE)FRONT
DRAW 5 · OR · Jamie Spencer / Michael Bell
MARKET 7.6 · the market rates it a 13% chance
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 3−
60.0FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
Top on the figures, 3pts clear of the next, sharp from the stalls; the only measured early speed in the race, without over-committing — and finds plenty late, sharp from the stalls.
Timed runs 2026-06-18 to 2026-06-18. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Data gaps · sectional read off only 1 timed run · unrated (no official mark) · never met today's rivals · thin Timeform history (1 figure)
The top rating in this field (60.0)Only 1 run at this distance
LTO comment
“tracked pace, ridden over 2f out, faded”
#2DELIGHFULLY HOTMID
DRAW 6 · OR · Sean Levey / James Owen
MARKET drifting 7.6 → 8.6 · the market rates it a 12% chance
Yard suits today’s conditions · 1+ / 0−
57.0FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
2nd on the figures, 3pts off the top, in form; solid late gains (4th of 4 on late speed here), saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it.
FormLab Figure
57.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 57
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
18
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 102.54% (holds late)
Course scale · class context
steps up 23 places on the course scale (WOLVERHAMPTON 32nd → SANDOWN PARK 9th) — a real rise in class regardless of the race grade
Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
James Owen · 1546 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.5 on the exchange
Signature angle: at 4-8 odds, without a recent yard winner, on Good to Firm ground
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)46/36612.6%0.9211/5420.4%1.23
Too few runners to read reliably
At Sandown Park (small sample)1/166.2%0.710/30.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 55 at/around today's trip, clears the ~55.0 demand
The rider
Sean Levey · last 14 days: 6/36· at Sandown Park: A/E 1.07 (n63)· with this yard: A/E 0 (n3)
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's fieldgraded 42% · n=2872
Speed · vs its fields4th of 4
-0.62 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 39.3 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 4
+0.10s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 4
102.5%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length4th of 4
7.07 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-06-03 to 2026-07-06. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has metgraded 55% · n=401
THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — confirms vs 1 rival(s) met (+0.5L adj, 1 meeting(s))
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Data gaps · sectional read off only 2 timed runs · unrated (no official mark) · thin Timeform history (2 figures)
Rated #2 in this field (57.0)Only 2 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 5 wins from 12 runsRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“mid-field, beaten halfway”
#3ELPEEARE (IRE)HELD-UPFORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 7 · OR · 9-2 · −5lb claim = 8-11 carried · Liam Wright / George Scott
MARKET backed 7 → 6.2 · the market rates it a 16% chance
Yard suits today’s conditions · 5+ / 0−
55.0FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
3rd on the figures, 5pts off the top, flagged on our watch list; the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it.
FormLab Figure
55.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 55
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
18
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 105.85% (strong late)
Course scale · class context
steps up 23 places on the course scale (WOLVERHAMPTON 32nd → SANDOWN PARK 9th) — a real rise in class regardless of the race grade
Recent form · last 1 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
3rdClass 4 · 5f22y · rated 55
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
George Scott · 699 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 3.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦40/24816.1%1.1617/6426.6%1.4
On turf ✦54/34815.5%1.1824/11421.1%1.24
In fields of 8-11 ✦40/25615.6%1.1611/7414.9%1.19
In Class 4-5 company ✦56/33216.9%1.0921/10021.0%1.18
At this time of year (Q3) ✦42/24017.5%1.188/3423.5%1.18
Too few runners to read reliably
At Sandown Park (small sample)2/1414.3%1.20/50.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 53 is below the ~55.0 the race demands
The rider
Liam Wright · last 14 days: 3/6· at Sandown Park: A/E 0 (n2)· with this yard: A/E 0.82 (n96)
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's fieldgraded 42% · n=2872
Speed · vs its fields1st of 4
+0.64 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 40.0 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph4th of 4
+0.62s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 4
105.8%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length2nd of 4
7.28 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-07-06 to 2026-07-06. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has metgraded 55% · n=401
DELIGHFULLY HOT · 1 meeting≈ 0.5L behind on today's terms · reverses
THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — reverses vs 1 rival(s) met (-0.5L adj, 1 meeting(s))
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Data gaps · sectional read off only 1 timed run · unrated (no official mark) · thin Timeform history (1 figure)
Rated #3 in this field (55.0)Only 1 run at this distanceStable in form this week — 4 wins from 10 runsRuns Held-Up — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
#4NIGHTBLOOM (IRE)
DRAW 9 · OR · Rowan Scott / Kevin Philippart de Foy
MARKET drifting 11 → 13 · the market rates it a 8% chance
Yard mixed · 1+ / 1−
40.0FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
4th on the figures, 20pts off the top, fit and race-ready; the price is the only question.
FormLab Figure
40.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 40
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
21
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · finishing speed 102.6% (holds late)
Course scale · class context
steps up 19 places on the course scale (BEVERLEY 28th → SANDOWN PARK 9th) — a real rise in class regardless of the race grade
Headgear
First-time tongue strap
Recent form · last 1 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
6thClass 4 · 5f · rated 40
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Kevin Philippart de Foy · 655 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)17/1849.2%0.765/1827.8%1.33
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of 8-11 ✦25/2549.8%0.838/6212.9%0.8
Too few runners to read reliably
At Sandown Park (small sample)0/30.0%0.01/333.3%1.51
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 38 is below the ~55.0 the race demands
The rider
Rowan Scott · last 14 days: 2/15· at Sandown Park: A/E 0 (n4)· with this yard: A/E 1.41 (n61)
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's fieldgraded 42% · n=2872
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 4
+0.27 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 39.1 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 4
+0.38s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 4
102.6%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length3rd of 4
7.23 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-07-03 to 2026-07-03. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Data gaps · sectional read off only 1 timed run · unrated (no official mark) · never met today's rivals · thin Timeform history (1 figure)
Only 1 run at this distance
LTO comment
“off pace, ridden over 2f out, beaten 1f out”
#5BINT PALACE PIER (IRE)
DRAW 3 · OR · David Probert / Richard Hughes
MARKET 9.8 · the market rates it a 10% chance
Yard suits today’s conditions · 1+ / 0−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
Little measured either way — unexposed on our reads.
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Richard Hughes · 1058 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 8-11 ✦60/39915.0%1.0826/15217.1%1.37
Too few runners to read reliably
At Sandown Park (small sample)0/130.0%0.01/119.1%1.09
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
The rider
David Probert · last 14 days: 8/43· at Sandown Park: A/E 1.61 (n21)· with this yard: A/E 1.06 (n18)
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.
Data gaps · no timed sectional runs on record · unrated (no official mark) · never met today's rivals · thin Timeform history (0 figures) · no FormLab figure
Jockey goes well at this track (1.61x market expectation)
#6COCONUT STALL
DRAW 8 · OR · Jason Watson / Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole
MARKET drifting 19.5 → 29 · the market rates it a 3% chance
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 3−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
Little measured either way — unexposed on our reads.
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole · 717 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
On turf ✦27/26110.3%0.958/1157.0%0.57
In Class 4-5 company37/32011.6%1.0510/1377.3%0.61
Over 5-6f trips ✦12/11210.7%0.927/759.3%0.72
Too few runners to read reliably
At Sandown Park (small sample)2/1020.0%3.060/30.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
The rider
Jason Watson · last 14 days: 5/21· at Sandown Park: A/E 0.83 (n36)· with this yard: A/E 0.73 (n13)
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.
Data gaps · no timed sectional runs on record · unrated (no official mark) · never met today's rivals · thin Timeform history (0 figures) · no FormLab figure
#7DUTY'S CALL (IRE)
DRAW 2 · OR · Darragh Keenan / George Scott
MARKET backed 5.8 → 5.3 · the market rates it a 19% chance
Yard suits today’s conditions · 4+ / 0−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
Backed since the morning; the price is the only question.
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
George Scott · 699 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 3.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
On turf ✦54/34815.5%1.1824/11421.1%1.24
In fields of 8-11 ✦40/25615.6%1.1611/7414.9%1.19
In Class 4-5 company ✦56/33216.9%1.0921/10021.0%1.18
At this time of year (Q3) ✦42/24017.5%1.188/3423.5%1.18
Too few runners to read reliably
At Sandown Park (small sample)2/1414.3%1.20/50.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
The rider
Darragh Keenan · last 14 days: 4/23· at Sandown Park: A/E 1.44 (n19)· with this yard: A/E 1.41 (n182)
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.
Data gaps · no timed sectional runs on record · unrated (no official mark) · never met today's rivals · thin Timeform history (0 figures) · no FormLab figure
Stable in form this week — 4 wins from 10 runsJockey goes well at this track (1.44x market expectation)
#8NOT MY TYPE
DRAW 4 · OR · Cieren Fallon / William Haggas
MARKET drifting 4.5 → 5.2 · the market rates it a 19% chance
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
Prominent in the betting; the price is the only question.
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
William Haggas · 1588 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 3.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)134/54924.4%1.126/619.8%0.43
In Class 4-5 company164/66824.6%1.0326/14218.3%0.8
Too few runners to read reliably
At Sandown Park (small sample)9/4221.4%0.940/70.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
The rider
Cieren Fallon · last 14 days: 3/27· at Sandown Park: A/E 0.68 (n23)· with this yard: A/E 1.17 (n459)
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.
Data gaps · no timed sectional runs on record · unrated (no official mark) · never met today's rivals · thin Timeform history (0 figures) · no FormLab figure