FORMLAB Race Report — Sandown Park 17:15

FORMLAB RACING

THE SCIENCE OF FORM  ·  RACE INTELLIGENCE REPORT

Sandown Park · 17:15

Class 5 · 1m1f209y · Good to Firm (Firm in places) · FIELD MEDIAN OR 66

GENERATED 2026-07-24 · 6 RUNNERS PROFILED

BUILT 16:48 · 24 Jul · GOING AT BUILD: Good to Firm (Firm in places)

THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 29.4%winner in the projected 1–2–3 60.8%265 races · latest settled day: #1 6/35, top-3 16/35forensic read: #1 28.6% · top-3 59.4% (192)full record →

The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW

IMPERIAL CULT (IRE) is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself. Winners here typically raced recently (72% within 45 days) and were prominent in the betting (56% from the first three favourites); the typical winner also sits around 3rd at halfway before quickening late, having spent about 50% of its energy before the final two furlongs. On the measured reads, HARLINGTON (FR) leads on 74, 0pts clear of IMPERIAL CULT (IRE) — meets much weaker company than last time on the ratings. Little to argue against on the measured reads — the only question is the price. The shape danger is KING'S CASTLE (IRE) — the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it. The market sees it differently, making IMPERIAL CULT (IRE) the 38% favourite — a horse our figures rate 2nd.

MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE

The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3

1ST · DATA ORDER DRAW 3

HARLINGTON (FR)

OR 70 · Liam Wright / Charlie Clover

MARKET 6.8 · the market rates it a 15% chance

74 FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD

Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 2−Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayThe top rating in this field (74)Historically underestimated by the marketRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

2ND · DATA ORDER DRAW 6

IMPERIAL CULT (IRE)

OR 67 · Jack Callan / George Baker

MARKET 2.62 · the market rates it a 38% chance

74.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD

Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 5−Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayRated #2 in this field (74.0)Historically underestimated by the marketRuns Front — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits

3RD · DATA ORDER DRAW 1

KING'S CASTLE (IRE)

OR 66 · Taryn Langley / David Simcock

MARKET 5.9 · the market rates it a 17% chance

69.7 FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD

Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 5−Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayRated #3 in this field (69.7)Jockey goes well at this track (1.98x market expectation)Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare result

The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY

1HARLINGTON (FR)net +5figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), top-2 late speed today, top-2 speed vs its fields, meets much weaker company by the marks

2MREMBOnet +5race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 speed vs its fields, sharp from the stalls

3IMPERIAL CULT (IRE)net +4figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, runs the dominant winning style here − 5lb+ above last winning mark

EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD

THE CASE AGAINST THE TOP PICK graded 34% · n=87

Little to argue against on the measured reads — the only question is the price. MREMBO is the one to beat it — an edge HARLINGTON (FR) lacks: sharp from the stalls.

Balance, not doubt for its own sake — every pick has a case against; a reader should see ours.

Worth A Second Look graded 32% · n=158

These horses rank lower on raw ability figures — but today's race fits a pattern their stable has repeatedly won in. In plain terms, why each deserves another look before you dismiss it.

MREMBO FIGURE #4

Jonathan Portman's runners in Class 4-5 company win 13.8% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. Jonathan Portman's runners kept to the same class win 21.2% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.

Race ShapePACE × FINISH

one confirmed early type — lone-lead possible. Descriptive context — the shape never selects.

What this course & distance favours

Won by front-runners 27% · midfield runners 25% (44 past C&D winners · no strong run-style bias). Stamina-sapping uphill finish — the defining feature. Winners’ energy signature: 49.69% spent early (band 48.81–50.65%, 63 measured winners, and the typical winner sits ~3 at halfway, 0.45s off the lead). graded 44% · n=331

WHAT WINS THIS RACE graded 79% · n=68

18 similar races at SANDOWN PARK, 9.4-10.4f, all-aged handicaps, Class 4-6, Jun-Aug, 2023-2026 (class band widened for sample)

Winners here typically raced recently (72% within 45 days) and were prominent in the betting (56% from the first three favourites). 28% won last time out, 22% were placed 2nd-3rd.

Age

33% 3yo

28% 6yo+

28% 4yo

Last ran

50% 15-45d

22% within 14d

22% 46-90d

Market

44% 4th+ in the market

33% favourite

17% 2nd favourite

LTO form

44% unplaced last time

28% won last time

22% placed last time

The shape of past winners here · context only, never picks the horse.

Where the pace is drawn · 6 runners · stalls 1–7

1234567

Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is drawn HIGH (early types average stall 6.0 of 7, field average 3.8).

If the ground changes

Should it turn softer: HARLINGTON (FR) is 0/4 on softer ground · IMPERIAL CULT (IRE) is 1/8 on softer ground · KING'S CASTLE (IRE) is 2/5 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).

RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup

HARLINGTON (FR) MID 47.9% 108.0 a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it

IMPERIAL CULT (IRE) FRONT 48.7% 105.0 the only measured early speed in the race, without over-committing — and finds plenty late

KING'S CASTLE (IRE) HELD-UP 47.6% 109.9 the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it

GOLDEN PHASE MID 50.0% 101.2 solid late gains (6th of 6 on late speed here), races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it

SYMPHONY'S SONG MID 48.1% 106.7 a genuine turn of foot — 4th-best late speed here, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it

MREMBO MID 47.0% 106.8 a genuine turn of foot — 3rd-best late speed here, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it

The early fight · measured

Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.

IMPERIAL CULT (IRE)FRONTtypically ~3.3 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.07s off the field’s best

IMPERIAL CULT (IRE) is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself · context only — the shape never selects.

The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER

#1 HARLINGTON (FR) MID

DRAW 3 · OR 70 · Liam Wright / Charlie Clover

MARKET 6.8 · the market rates it a 15% chance

Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 2−

74 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

Top on the figures, just ahead of the next, meets much weaker company than last time on the ratings; a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it.

FormLab Figure

74 · ranked #1 here · career best 77

Official mark (OR)

70 · last won off 69

Record at today's distance

4 wins from 17 tries · beats market expectation (1.05)

Days since last run

22

Sectional clock

Last time: beat the class par by 0.8s
Usually races prominent-closer · clock read is off a superseded run

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 108.03% (strong late)

Field strength · class context

Meets a field 5lb weaker than last time — today's median OR 66 vs 71 last run (NEWBURY · 2 Jul 26)

Headgear

Cheekpieces

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

8thClass 5 · 1m2f · rated 713rdClass 5 · 1m2f22y · rated 743rdClass 5 · 1m2f · rated 771stClass 5 · 1m2f · rated 761stClass 5 · 1m2f · rated 74

Career sheet · last 18 months · 18 rated runs · spacing is real time

Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Charlie Clover · 173 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.7 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

Over 9-10f trips3/1030.0%1.536/1346.2%2.29

In fields of <=72/1612.5%0.738/2040.0%1.37

Above their last winning mark4/2615.4%0.799/3228.1%1.27

In Class 4-5 company8/6412.5%0.975/2619.2%1.22

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

At this time of year (Q3)6/3915.4%0.992/1612.5%0.54

On turf11/5420.4%1.37/4714.9%0.84

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 82 at/around today's trip, clears the ~74 demand

The rider

Liam Wright · last 14 days: 3/6 · at Sandown Park: A/E 0 (n2) · with this yard: A/E 2.01 (n16)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field · today's field median OR 66 graded 42% · n=2872

Speed · vs its fields1st of 6

+0.19 mph

Faster than the fields it has met · 39.6 raw

Break · 0-20mph5th of 6

+0.21s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed2nd of 6

108.0%

Sustains — still going at the line

Stride length2nd of 6

7.17 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

2 Jul 26Newbury1m2fGd/Frm58th7271—39.9 -0.29105.4——

28 May 26Yarmouth1m2f23yGd/Frm53rd73—Slow early40.3 -0.14112.0+0.00

20 Apr 26Lingfield1m2fStd53rd7372True40.4 +0.31108.8+0.22

21 Feb 26Chelmsford City1m2fStd51st6967.5True37.5 +1.00105.4+0.60

24 Jan 26Lingfield1m2fStd61st6159True40.2 +0.18111.1+0.01

17 Jan 26Southwell1m4f14yStd62nd6062True37.5 +0.06105.6+0.02

Timed runs 2026-01-17 to 2026-07-02. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met graded 55% · n=401

Read through a common rival

vs MREMBO (read through RACING DEMON, HUXLEY, GALACTIC GLOW, BIRTHDAY ANGEL) ≈ -4.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

vs KING'S CASTLE (IRE) (read through HUGGABLE, HENGEST, HUXLEY, RACING DEMON) ≈ -3.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

vs GOLDEN PHASE (read through RACING DEMON, MEET ME IN MERAKI, DOUBLE RED, BIRTHDAY ANGEL) ≈ -2.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

vs IMPERIAL CULT (IRE) (read through TWILIGHT GUEST, DOUBLE RED, BETA READER, ANNEXATION) ≈ +0.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayThe top rating in this field (74)Historically underestimated by the marketRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“rear, under pressure 3f out, closed up only late”

#2 IMPERIAL CULT (IRE) FRONT

DRAW 6 · OR 67 · Jack Callan / George Baker

MARKET 2.62 · the market rates it a 38% chance

Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 5−

74.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

Level at the head of the figures (2nd), runs the dominant winning style here; rated well above the mark it last won from.

FormLab Figure

74.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 75

Official mark (OR)

67 · last won off 61

Record at today's distance

2 wins from 13 tries · below market expectation (0.93)

Days since last run

23

Sectional clock

Last time: 0.8s slower than par — the result flattered it · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races front-runner · clock read is off a superseded run

Run style & finish

Front-runner · finishing speed 105.01% (strong late)

Field strength · class context

Steps into 4lb stronger company than last time — today's median OR 66 vs 62 last run (EPSOM DOWNS · 1 Jul 26)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

4thClass 5 · 1m2f22y · rated 741stClass 6 · 1m3f · rated 751stClass 6 · 1m4f · rated 663rdClass 5 · 2m · rated 643rdClass 6 · 1m3f · rated 63

Career sheet · last 18 months · 13 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

George Baker · 411 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 9.2 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

In fields of <=79/6713.4%0.871/175.9%0.49

At this time of year (Q3)13/1488.8%1.071/185.6%0.5

On turf18/2148.4%1.12/434.7%0.6

Coming back after 15 to 45 days13/1697.7%0.92/296.9%0.68

In Class 4-5 company19/1919.9%1.154/547.4%0.75

Too few runners to read reliably

At Sandown Park (small sample)0/100.0%0.01/250.0%11.43

Over 9-10f trips (small sample)6/3716.2%1.80/50.0%0.0

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 75 at/around today's trip, clears the ~74 demand

The rider

Jack Callan · last 14 days: 4/30 · with this yard: A/E 0.74 (n16)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field · today's field median OR 66 graded 42% · n=2872

Speed · vs its fields5th of 6

-0.25 mph

Slower than the fields it has met · 38.0 raw

Break · 0-20mph3rd of 6

+0.07s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed5th of 6

105.0%

Sustains — still going at the line

Stride length3rd of 6

6.99 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

1 Jul 26Epsom Downs1m2f17yGood54th6762—38.7 -0.01104.9+0.15—

10 Jun 26Kempton Park1m3fSlow61st6163True37.2 +0.09104.1+0.16

30 Apr 26Lingfield1m4fStd61st5857.5Fast early38.9 -0.20108.0+0.01

24 Oct 25Newbury2mHeavy53rd5961—34.7 +0.24101.4-0.01

24 Sep 25Kempton Park1m3fSlow63rd5760True37.7 -1.16106.4+0.00

11 Sep 25Epsom Downs1m2f17yGd/Sft58th5862True37.3 -0.46105.1+0.09

Timed runs 2025-09-11 to 2026-07-01. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met graded 55% · n=401

MREMBO · 6 meetings≈ 1.6L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly

1 Jul 26 · 1m2f22y · Good — finished 4th vs 5th, 0.75L ahead · OR 67 v 59 · race median 62 (today 66)

KING'S CASTLE (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 1.8L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly

31 Jul 25 · 1m4f · Gd/Sft — finished 2nd vs 3rd, 2.75L ahead · OR 59 v 66 · race median 69 (today 66)

THIN [single meeting dominates the net] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 2 rival(s) met (-1.7L adj, 4 meeting(s))

Read through a common rival

vs GOLDEN PHASE (read through DOUBLE RED, DIDAAR, BIRTHDAY ANGEL, RACING DEMON) ≈ -5.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

vs HARLINGTON (FR) (read through TWILIGHT GUEST, DOUBLE RED, BETA READER, ANNEXATION) ≈ -0.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

6lb above his last winning mark (67 today vs 61)Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayRated #2 in this field (74.0)Historically underestimated by the marketRuns Front — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“led after 1f, headed after 3f, went on again 4f out, kicked on 2f out, in command final ½f”

#3 KING'S CASTLE (IRE) HELD-UP

DRAW 1 · OR 66 · Taryn Langley / David Simcock

MARKET 5.9 · the market rates it a 17% chance

Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 5−

69.7 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

3rd on the figures, 4.3pts off the top, one of the two strongest finishers here; habitually slow from the stalls.

FormLab Figure

69.7 · ranked #3 here · career best 75

Official mark (OR)

66 · last won off 66

Record at today's distance

2 wins from 4 tries · beats market expectation (3.31)

Days since last run

40

Sectional clock

Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races midfield-closer

Run style & finish

Held up · finishing speed 109.91% (strong late)

Course scale · class context

steps up 13 places on the course scale (SALISBURY 22nd → SANDOWN PARK 9th) — a real rise in class regardless of the race grade

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

4thClass 5 · 1m1f198y · rated 672ndClass 5 · 1m3f132y · rated 755thClass 5 · 1m3f110y · rated 673rdClass 4 · 1m6f22y · rated 673rdClass 5 · 1m4f · rated 68

Career sheet · last 18 months · 8 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

David Simcock · 753 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.7 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

In Class 4-5 company37/34110.9%0.8711/7614.5%1.21

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

Over 9-10f trips12/9712.4%1.141/234.3%0.47

In fields of <=733/19716.8%1.073/565.4%0.47

At this time of year (Q3)24/18113.3%1.131/224.5%0.62

Coming back after 15 to 45 days40/30113.3%1.14/596.8%0.73

On turf ✦26/24110.8%0.934/616.6%0.8

Too few runners to read reliably

At Sandown Park (small sample)2/1118.2%1.650/20.0%0.0

Back at their last winning mark (small sample)0/100.0%0.01/1010.0%1.19

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 76 at/around today's trip, clears the ~74 demand

The rider

Taryn Langley · last 14 days: 0/10 · at Sandown Park: A/E 1.98 (n3) · with this yard: A/E 0.91 (n72)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field · today's field median OR 66 graded 42% · n=2872

Speed · vs its fields3rd of 6

+0.04 mph

About the level of its fields · 37.7 raw

Break · 0-20mph6th of 6

+0.34s

Slow away in 2 of 4 — habitual, so the market already knows

Finish · closing speed1st of 6

109.9%

Sustains — still going at the line

Stride length6th of 6

6.80 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

14 Jun 26Salisbury1m1f201yGood54th6768.5True37.2 -0.12104.4+0.13

19 May 26Lingfield1m3f133yGood52nd6766True37.8 +0.02111.4+0.18

13 Oct 25Yarmouth1m3f104yGd/Frm55th6967Slow early40.0 +0.08109.8—

18 Sep 25Yarmouth1m6f17yGd/Sft43rd7076True38.6 +0.00110.3—

31 Jul 25Epsom Downs1m4fGd/Sft53rd6669True39.8 +0.05119.2+0.54

25 Jul 25Sandown Park1m1f209yGood51st6664True38.2 +0.21104.2+0.51

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.72very slow2f+0.96very slow3f+1.13par4f+1.72par5f+1.39fast6f+1.12par7f+0.93par1m+0.85par1m 1f+1.07par1m 2f+1.43par

Timed runs 2025-07-25 to 2026-06-14. · 2 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met graded 55% · n=401

IMPERIAL CULT (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 1.8L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly

31 Jul 25 · 1m4f · Gd/Sft — finished 3rd vs 2nd, 2.75L behind · OR 66 v 59 · race median 69 (today 66)

MREMBO · 1 meeting≈ 0.4L ahead on today's terms · confirms

25 Jul 25 · 1m1f198y · Good — finished 1st vs 2nd, 1.5L ahead · OR 66 v 61 · race median 64 (today 66)

THIN [n=2 meeting(s), 2 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — confirms vs 2 rival(s) met (+0.9L adj, 2 meeting(s))

Read through a common rival

vs HARLINGTON (FR) (read through HUGGABLE, HENGEST, HUXLEY, RACING DEMON) ≈ +3.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayRated #3 in this field (69.7)Only 4 runs at this distanceJockey goes well at this track (1.98x market expectation)Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (1 from 1 here)Runs Held-Up — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“held up, headway over 3f out, shaken up over 2f out, plugged on final 1f”

#4 MREMBO MID

DRAW 2 · OR 59 · Olivia Tubb / Jonathan Portman

MARKET 6.4 · the market rates it a 16% chance

Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−

65.3 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

4th on the figures, 8.7pts off the top, among the two fastest on speed against its past fields; a genuine turn of foot — 3rd-best late speed here, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it.

FormLab Figure

65.3 · ranked #4 here · career best 67

Official mark (OR)

59 · last won off 58

Record at today's distance

4 wins from 30 tries · below market expectation (0.87)

Days since last run

23

Sectional clock

Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.6s)
Usually races prominent-closer · clock read is off a superseded run

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 106.83% (strong late)

Field strength · class context

Steps into 4lb stronger company than last time — today's median OR 66 vs 62 last run (EPSOM DOWNS · 1 Jul 26)

Headgear

Cheekpieces

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

5thClass 5 · 1m2f22y · rated 654thClass 5 · 1m3f88y · rated 651stClass 5 · 1m3f88y · rated 664thClass 5 · 1m3f88y · rated 643rdClass 6 · 1m3f132y · rated 60

Career sheet · last 18 months · 17 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Jonathan Portman · 643 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.8 on the exchange

Signature angle: at this time of year (Q2)

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

Over 9-10f trips7/719.9%0.98/2828.6%2.01

Above their last winning mark19/14413.2%1.012/7116.9%1.28

In fields of <=7 ✦18/10018.0%1.237/3818.4%1.15

Too few runners to read reliably

At Sandown Park (small sample)2/1910.5%1.111/425.0%2.03

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 67 is below the ~74 the race demands

The rider

Olivia Tubb · last 14 days: 0/6 · at Sandown Park: A/E 0 (n4) · with this yard: A/E 1.5 (n121)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field · today's field median OR 66 graded 42% · n=2872

Speed · vs its fields2nd of 6

+0.09 mph

About the level of its fields · 38.7 raw

Break · 0-20mph2nd of 6

+0.01s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed3rd of 6

106.8%

Sustains — still going at the line

Stride length5th of 6

6.90 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

1 Jul 26Epsom Downs1m2f17yGood55th5962—38.7 +0.00105.8+0.00—

15 Jun 26Windsor1m3f99yGd/Frm54th5965True39.6 -0.34111.1-0.17

25 May 26Windsor1m3f99yGd/Frm51st58—True39.8 -0.17110.5-0.28

11 May 26Windsor1m3f99yGd/Frm54th5965True39.5 +0.49106.0+0.33

4 May 26Bath1m3f137yGood63rd5955True37.6 +0.0398.8+0.00

8 Apr 26Kempton Park1m4fSlow65th5959True39.6 +0.54108.8-0.10

Timed runs 2026-04-08 to 2026-07-01. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met graded 55% · n=401

IMPERIAL CULT (IRE) · 6 meetings≈ 1.6L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly

1 Jul 26 · 1m2f22y · Good — finished 5th vs 4th, 0.75L behind · OR 59 v 67 · race median 62 (today 66)

KING'S CASTLE (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 0.4L behind on today's terms · reverses

25 Jul 25 · 1m1f198y · Good — finished 2nd vs 1st, 1.5L behind · OR 61 v 66 · race median 64 (today 66)

GOLDEN PHASE · 1 meeting · n/a

25 Jun 24 · 1m3f · Gd/Frm — finished 8th vs 2nd, 7.85L behind · OR 60 v 62 · race median 64 (today 66) · stale — 25m ago, not in the read

THIN [single meeting dominates the net] — context only, not a bet leg — confirms vs 2 rival(s) met (+1.1L adj, 4 meeting(s))

Read through a common rival

vs HARLINGTON (FR) (read through RACING DEMON, HUXLEY, GALACTIC GLOW, BIRTHDAY ANGEL) ≈ +4.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“disputed lead, ridden 2f out, one paced”

#5 SYMPHONY'S SONG MID

DRAW 7 · OR 61 · Toby Moore / Ian Williams

MARKET 11 · the market rates it a 9% chance

65.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

5th on the figures, 9pts off the top, fit and race-ready; a genuine turn of foot — 4th-best late speed here, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it.

FormLab Figure

65.0 · ranked #5 here · career best 70

Official mark (OR)

61 · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 2 tries

Days since last run

17

Sectional clock

Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races midfield

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 106.72% (strong late)

Course scale · class context

steps up 23 places on the course scale (WOLVERHAMPTON 32nd → SANDOWN PARK 9th) — a real rise in class regardless of the race grade

Recent form · last 4 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

5thClass 5 · 1m132y · rated 654thClass 4 · 1m66y · rated 706thClass 5 · 1m132y · rated 404thClass 5 · 7f22y · rated 41

Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Christian Williams

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 69 is below the ~74 the race demands

The rider

Toby Moore · last 14 days: 1/3 · at Sandown Park: A/E 5.83 (n2) · with this yard: A/E 2.13 (n5)

Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field · today's field median OR 66 graded 42% · n=2872

Speed · vs its fields6th of 6

-0.34 mph

Slower than the fields it has met · 38.8 raw

Break · 0-20mph4th of 6

+0.13s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed4th of 6

106.7%

Sustains — still going at the line

Stride length1st of 6

7.24 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

7 Jul 26Wolverhampton1m142yStd55th6266True38.8 +0.41107.4—

31 May 26Nottingham1m75yGood44th——True38.3 +0.01105.3+0.00

5 May 26Wolverhampton1m142yStd56th——Slow early38.2 -1.21108.2+0.13

6 Mar 25Newcastle7f14ySlow54th——Slow early39.9 -0.57106.0+0.27

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.63par2f+0.55slow3f+0.44very slow4f+0.50slow5f+0.58slow6f+0.71par7f+0.71par1m+0.56very fast1m 1f+0.71fast

Timed runs 2025-03-06 to 2026-07-07. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. · 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Data gaps · never met today's rivals

Only 2 runs at this distanceStable cold this week — 0 wins from 10 runsJockey goes well at this track (5.83x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina question

LTO comment

“mid-field, progress under 3f out, no extra over 1f out”

#6 GOLDEN PHASE MID

DRAW 4 · OR 66 · Rose Dawes / Denis Coakley

MARKET 17 · the market rates it a 6% chance

Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 1−

63 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

6th on the figures, 11pts off the top, runs the winning energy pattern for the track; its sectional profile is out of date.

FormLab Figure

63 · ranked #6 here · career best 73

Official mark (OR)

66 · last won off 63

Record at today's distance

3 wins from 9 tries · beats market expectation (1.45)

Days since last run

232

Sectional clock

Last time: 3.0s slower than par — the result flattered it · among the slowest in its race
Usually races front-runner (cooked late)

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 101.19% (holds late)

Course scale · class context

steps up 15 places on the course scale (CHELMSFORD CITY 24th → SANDOWN PARK 9th) — a real rise in class regardless of the race grade

Field strength · class context

Meets a field 4lb weaker than last time — today's median OR 66 vs 70.5 last run (CHELMSFORD CITY · 4 Dec 25)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

11thClass 5 · 1m2f · rated 463rdClass 5 · 1m2f · rated 701stClass 5 · 1m1f198y · rated 733rdClass 6 · 1m2f · rated 632ndClass 5 · 1m1f198y · rated 71

Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Denis Coakley · 222 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.0 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

Over 9-10f trips4/458.9%0.763/837.5%2.95

In fields of <=75/3912.8%0.883/837.5%2.29

In Class 4-5 company6/1045.8%0.647/3718.9%1.76

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

At this time of year (Q3)6/659.2%0.780/70.0%0.0

Too few runners to read reliably

At Sandown Park (small sample)1/250.0%7.96—

Coming back after 180 days+ (small sample)1/119.1%0.930/20.0%0.0

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 73 is below the ~74 the race demands

The rider

Rose Dawes · last 14 days: 0/6 · at Sandown Park: A/E 4.3 (n5) · with this yard: A/E 0 (n5)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field · today's field median OR 66 graded 42% · n=2872

Speed · vs its fields4th of 6

-0.03 mph

About the level of its fields · 38.2 raw

Break · 0-20mph1st of 6

-0.10s

Quicker away than the field · fast away 5 of 5

Finish · closing speed6th of 6

101.2%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length4th of 6

6.93 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

4 Dec 25Chelmsford City1m2fSlow511th6770.5True38.1 -0.1498.0-0.09

10 Jul 25Newbury1m2fFirm53rd6771True39.2 +0.00101.9+0.00

15 Jun 25Salisbury1m1f201yGd/Frm51st6371Fast early37.7 +0.00103.1-0.30

31 May 25Lingfield1m2fGood63rd6361True38.5 +0.82103.8+0.00

4 May 25Salisbury1m1f201yFirm52nd6173True38.8 +0.00103.2-0.10

31 Oct 24Bath1m2f37ySoft (Good To Soft In Places)—4th——True36.9 -0.8897.2—

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.20par2f+0.33par3f+0.36par4f+0.43par5f+0.39par6f+0.33par7f+0.24par1m+0.45par1m 1f+0.79very slow1m 2f+2.48very slow

Timed runs 2024-10-31 to 2025-12-04 · last timed run 232 days ago — the profile is out of date. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met graded 55% · n=401

MREMBO · 1 meeting · n/a

25 Jun 24 · 1m3f · Gd/Frm — finished 2nd vs 8th, 7.85L ahead · OR 62 v 60 · race median 64 (today 66) · stale — 25m ago, not in the read

Read through a common rival

vs IMPERIAL CULT (IRE) (read through DOUBLE RED, DIDAAR, BIRTHDAY ANGEL, RACING DEMON) ≈ +5.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

vs HARLINGTON (FR) (read through RACING DEMON, MEET ME IN MERAKI, DOUBLE RED, BIRTHDAY ANGEL) ≈ +2.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 52% · n=545

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

3lb above his last winning mark (66 today vs 63)Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayProven over the trip (9 tries, beats market expectation at 1.45)Jockey goes well at this track (4.3x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionReturns from 232 days offHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“chased leaders, ridden approaching home turn, lost place over 1f out, eased”